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Labour lead in latest General Election poll

Labour has held onto its slim lead over the Conservatives
Labour has held onto its slim lead over the Conservatives

Labour has held on to its slim lead over the Conservatives in the Press Association’s poll of polls.

With 49 days to go until the general election, Labour is currently on 33.6%, 0.6 points ahead of the Tories on 33.0%.

Ukip remains third on 14.4%, with the Liberal Democrats fourth on 7.4% and the Greens fifth on 5.7%.

It is too soon to judge whether yesterday’s Budget has had any impact upon levels of support for the main parties.

The poll of polls is calculated using a rolling average of every nationwide poll published in the last seven days.

Its figures confirm the trend of recent weeks that the UK is set for another hung parliament and that no party will win the 326 seats needed to form a majority in the House of Commons.

The latest projections of the result also point to a hung parliament.

The Guardian is forecasting the Tories to win 277 seats, with Labour on 269, the SNP 53, the Lib Dems 25, Ukip four, the Greens one and others 21.

The New Statesman’s election website May2015.com also puts the Tories on 277 but gives Labour 268 seats. The SNP are on 55, the Lib Dems 24, Ukip three, the Greens one and others 22.

The website ElectionForecast.co.uk, run by a team of academics, currently predicts the Tories to win 284 seats, with Labour on 279, the SNP 39, the Lib Dems 25, Ukip one, the Greens one and others 21.

Together, these predictions give the Conservatives an average lead over Labour of seven seats.

Just one new poll was published in the past 24 hours.

A survey by YouGov put Labour on 34% (-2), the Tories on 33% (-1), Ukip on 14% (+2), the Lib Dems on 8% (+1) and the Greens on 6% (nc).
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