This evening’s exit poll which has given the Tories a comfortable lead paints a very different picture from a well respected poll released hours before the polls closed.
Electoral Calculus was the most accurate poll ahead of the 2010 election and this year’s poll was again expected to be replicated in the results, however, it suggests a wildly different result from this evening’s exit poll.
Electoral Calculus has made General Election predictions for 20 years using scientific analysis of opinion polls and electoral geography.
This week’s Electoral Calculus poll had just six seats separating the two parties.
However, the exit poll gives the Tories 316 seats with Labour trailing with just 239 seats – 77 seats behind.
Which will be closer to the truth? Only time will tell…
General Election 2015: “Most accurate poll” and exit poll predicting very different results
